The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Description: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Nassim Nicholas Taleb is available to download A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually We re.This material is available do download at niSearch on Nassim Nicholas Taleb's eBooks, .The Black Swan: The ... Textbook ....
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